Pythia — Scoreboard
</> Open source code
ⓘ About this experiment
Cumulative basket and QQQ
modelsQQQ
-0.7%+1.1%+2.8%+4.6%+6.3%0%
Source: nightly model runs · prices via yfinance · as of 2026-06-12
Scoreboard
-0.24% vs QQQ
top-20 +3.77% · QQQ +4.01%

cumulative excess of the nightly top-20 basket over QQQ across 16 sessions, next open to close; not yet statistically significant.

Benchmark definition — what is being measured

The signal date is the panel timestamp converted to the ET calendar date. For each signal date, the basket is the top 20 tickers by net score, equal weighted and unhedged. The entry is the next market session open, and the exit is that same session close. QQQ is measured over the same open to close session.

If weekend or holiday signals point to the same next market session, only the last signal for that session is kept. That prevents duplicate panels from counting the same trade window more than once.

Caveats: this is a paper benchmark with no execution costs or slippage. There is no look-ahead: the signal is timestamped before the next open, while prices are fetched after the session. The sample is still small. The basket is fixed at signal time, so later winners or deleted names are not added after the fact.

Running averages — session means and cumulative returns
measurevalue
sessions16
top-20 avg+0.24%
QQQ avg+0.25%
vs QQQ avg-0.02%
cumulative top-20+3.77%
cumulative excess vs QQQ-0.24%
latest trade date2026-06-12
Daily rows — one row per benchmark session
signal datetrade datetop availabletop-20 1dQQQvs QQQcum top-20cum vs QQQ
2026-05-182026-05-1920+0.52%+0.25%+0.27%+0.52%+0.27%
2026-05-192026-05-2020+0.66%+1.11%-0.45%+1.18%-0.18%
2026-05-202026-05-2120+1.06%+0.78%+0.28%+2.24%+0.10%
2026-05-212026-05-2220-0.17%-0.07%-0.10%+2.07%+0.00%
2026-05-252026-05-2620+0.41%+0.60%-0.19%+2.48%-0.18%
2026-05-262026-05-2720-1.35%-0.48%-0.87%+1.13%-1.05%
2026-05-272026-05-2820+0.57%+0.80%-0.24%+1.70%-1.29%
2026-05-282026-05-2920+0.76%+0.06%+0.70%+2.46%-0.59%
2026-05-312026-06-0120+1.49%+0.77%+0.72%+3.95%+0.12%
2026-06-012026-06-0220+1.69%+0.51%+1.18%+5.63%+1.30%
2026-06-022026-06-0320-1.43%-0.41%-1.02%+4.20%+0.29%
2026-06-032026-06-0420+1.42%+0.70%+0.72%+5.62%+1.01%
2026-06-042026-06-0520-3.80%-3.42%-0.38%+1.82%+0.63%
2026-06-072026-06-0820-0.35%-0.24%-0.11%+1.47%+0.53%
2026-06-102026-06-1120+1.42%+2.55%-1.13%+2.89%-0.60%
2026-06-112026-06-1220+0.88%+0.52%+0.36%+3.77%-0.24%
Nightly panel No. 25
1435/1460 responses
Last panel: 2026-06-13 21:02 ET
Not investment advice; a public measurement experiment — methodology · open source code