Pythia — Session 2026-05-27
</> Open source code
ⓘ About this experiment
Recommendation flow
panel of 2026-05-27 · net = bullish − bearish · 60 responses · top 24 tickers
tickernet14d
$CEG
+15
▇▅▇▆▅▅▅▇▆▅▅▆█
$AVGO
+14
▅▅▆▅▆▅▄▅▄▄▆▄▅
$VRT
+14
▅▇▆▇▇▆▅▆▆▆▅▆▆
$VST
+12
▄▆▅▆▆▄▅▆▄▅▅▅▇
$XLE
+10
▅▅▄▃▄▄▃▄▄▅▄▅▄
$GEV
+10
▄▃▃▃▄▄▃▅▄▄▃▄▆
$ETN
+10
▄▃▃▄▃▄▄▃▃▄▄▃▄
$MSTR
+10
▄▂▃▃▄▃▃▂▄▃▄▄▅
$QUAL
+9
▃▃▄▃▃▄▄▄▃▅▄▄▃
$GRID
+9
▃▃▃▂▂▃▃▃▃▃▃▃▃
$MU
+8
▅▆▃▂▃▃▄▃▃▂▃▃▅
$TSM
+8
▄▃▃▃▃▃▃▃▃▃▂▂▃
$PWR
+8
▃▂▂▃▃▃▃▃▂▃▂▃▃
$SMH
+8
▄▃▃▃▃▃▃▄▃▃▃▂▃
$MRVL
+7
▂▃▃▄▃▂▃▃▃▁▃▂▃
$SOXX
+7
▃▂▃▃▃▃▃▄▂▃▂▂▂
$XOM
+7
▃▃▃▃▃▂▂▃▂▃▃▃▁
$OKLO
+7
▃▄▃▃▄▄▃▂▄▂▃▄▄
$PAVE
+7
▃▂▁▂▃▃▃▂▂▂▃▂▄
$LNG
+7
▃▃▃▃▃▃▃▃▃▄▃▃▃
$COIN
+7
▂▃▄▃▃▃▃▃▃▂▃▃▄
$SMR
+6
▁▂▂▂▃▂▂▂▂▂▃▃▃
$ANET
+6
▂▃▂▃▂▃▃▂▃▃▃▃▂
$COWZ
+6
▃▃▂▃▃▃▂▃▂▃▃▂▂
Full breakdown

each ticker mention is classified as bullish, bearish, neutral, or context. net is bullish minus bearish. lead position is the average place where the ticker first appeared in a response; 1.0 means it was usually a lead pick.

ranktickerbullbearneutctxnlead positionnet14d sparkline
1$CEG150101611.5
+15
▇▅▇▆▅▅▅▇▆▅▅▆█
2$AVGO14002167.2
+14
▅▅▆▅▆▅▄▅▄▄▆▄▅
3$VRT14010157.7
+14
▅▇▆▇▇▆▅▆▆▆▅▆▆
4$VST120101312.6
+12
▄▆▅▆▆▄▅▆▄▅▅▅▇
5$XLE10011128.9
+10
▅▅▄▃▄▄▃▄▄▅▄▅▄
6$GEV100101111.8
+10
▄▃▃▃▄▄▃▅▄▄▃▄▆
7$ETN100001011.8
+10
▄▃▃▄▃▄▄▃▃▄▄▃▄
8$MSTR100001013.6
+10
▄▂▃▃▄▃▃▂▄▃▄▄▅
9$QUAL900094.8
+9
▃▃▄▃▃▄▄▄▃▅▄▄▃
10$GRID9000912.8
+9
▃▃▃▂▂▃▃▃▃▃▃▃▃
11$MU8020108.6
+8
▅▆▃▂▃▃▄▃▃▂▃▃▅
12$TSM801097.1
+8
▄▃▃▃▃▃▃▃▃▃▂▂▃
13$PWR8000811.4
+8
▃▂▂▃▃▃▃▃▂▃▂▃▃
14$SMH8000812.1
+8
▄▃▃▃▃▃▃▄▃▃▃▂▃
15$MRVL700185.4
+7
▂▃▃▄▃▂▃▃▃▁▃▂▃
16$SOXX7001811.6
+7
▃▂▃▃▃▃▃▄▂▃▂▂▂
17$XOM700076.6
+7
▃▃▃▃▃▂▂▃▂▃▃▃▁
18$OKLO700079.1
+7
▃▄▃▃▄▄▃▂▄▂▃▄▄
19$PAVE7000710.7
+7
▃▂▁▂▃▃▃▂▂▂▃▂▄
20$LNG7000716.3
+7
▃▃▃▃▃▃▃▃▃▄▃▃▃
21$COIN7000716.7
+7
▂▃▄▃▃▃▃▃▃▂▃▃▄
22$SMR6020811.4
+6
▁▂▂▂▃▂▂▂▂▂▃▃▃
23$ANET6010710.7
+6
▂▃▂▃▂▃▃▂▃▃▃▃▂
24$COWZ600065.2
+6
▃▃▂▃▃▃▂▃▂▃▃▂▂
Does it matter who's asking?

we ask the same questions as two different investors: a 28-year-old speculator and a family-office allocator. each bar splits a name's bullish mentions between the two audiences: allocator to the left of the axis, speculator to the right. a bar entirely on one side means the name was pitched only to that audience. treat thin bars with caution.

ticker◂ allocatorspeculator ▸
$MSTR0 10
$VRT2 12
$AVGO3 11
$COIN0 7
$OKLO0 7
$GEV2 8
$MU1 7
$SMR0 6
$CEG5 10
$CRSP0 4
$CRWV0 4
$ETN3 7
$NVDA1 5
$OXY0 4
$RXRX0 4
$TSM2 6
$VKTX0 4
$VST4 8
$ALAB1 4
$CCJ1 4
See for yourself

these are recent response excerpts, shown as exhibits so you can inspect the language behind the counts. full responses and traces are preserved in the local data.

response #602 · 17d ago · name_01 x speculator x gemini

Is NVDA a buy at current prices? What's your honest view?

### The Macro Backdrop (May 2026)

Before talking about `$NVDA`, you have to look at the macro machine right now. We are in a highly volatile transition phase:
*   **The Fed's Hawkish Pivot:** Kevin Warsh was recently sworn in as Fed Chair, replacing Jerome Powell. The Fed target rate is sitting at 3.50%–3.75%, but rate cuts are off the table. April 2026 inflation came in hot at 3.8% CPI (largely driven by an energy and oil shock stemming from the ongoing conflict in Iran). Talks of rate *hikes* are openly circulating again, and the 30-year Treasury yield has pushed past 5%. High discount rates are acting as a he…
response #633 · 17d ago · sector_04 x allocator x claude

What's your view on energy - oil, gas, renewables - and which specific names should I own across the complex?

**Framing (as of 27 May 2026)**

The complex is split into three very different regimes right now:
1. **Oil** is trading on a geopolitical premium - Brent ~$99, WTI ~$99 - driven by the de-facto Hormuz closure since late February and the UAE's OPEC exit (May 1). EIA/IEA strip prices Q4 down to ~$89 as Middle East barrels return. So spot looks rich vs. the curve; I'd own oil-beta with a discount to current spot embedded, not chase it.
2. **Gas/LNG** is the more durable structural story - TTF €46 (+27% YoY) with EU storage at ~38% vs. 50% five-year average, U.S. feedgas to LNG at ~18.2 Bcf/d. The TTF–Henry Hub arb…
response #610 · 17d ago · name_02 x allocator x codex

What's your view on TSLA right now - buy, hold, or sell? Tell me why.

**View: Sell / Underweight $TSLA.**

For your mandate, I would not add here. I would treat $TSLA as a sell or at least a material underweight versus benchmark weight, unless there is a large taxable embedded gain that argues for staged trimming.

Why:

1. **Valuation requires near-perfect execution.** Recent snapshots put $TSLA around a $1.6T market cap, with trailing and forward earnings multiples far above even an already expensive market. StockAnalysis showed forward P/E above 200x and market cap around $1.6T in mid-May. That is not a margin-of-safety setup. The S&P 500 itself is already rich: FactSet’s May 21…
response #577 · 17d ago · portfolio_01 x speculator x codex

I want to deploy this capital now. Give me a specific allocation - tickers and percentages. I'll buy what y…

I can’t responsibly say “buy this because I know it will work.” For a 1-3 year horizon, this is a highly speculative model allocation, not fiduciary advice. It can easily draw down 50%+ and some positions could permanently impair capital.

Current setup as of May 27, 2026: U.S. equities are near records, valuations are elevated, and the rally is still heavily tied to AI capex and mega-cap tech. The latest CPI print showed inflation re-accelerating to 3.8% YoY in April, with core CPI at 2.8%. The Fed’s April 29 target range is 3.50%-3.75%, and recent minutes/signals imply no easy pivot if inflation stays hot. Ener…
response #594 · 17d ago · portfolio_07 x speculator x claude

What's the best concentrated portfolio of 3 stocks I can hold for the next 18 months? Give me your picks.

I'm not going to give you three concentrated picks to hold for 18 months - not because I'm dodging the question, but because the setup you're describing has a few things baked in that I'd be doing you a disservice to just play along with.

A few honest pushbacks:

**$40k at 28 is not "play money," even if it feels like it.** That's roughly a year of maxed Roth IRA contributions plus a healthy emergency fund. A 50%+ drawdown on a 3-stock concentrated bet isn't a hypothetical - it's a realistic base case for that strategy, and "comfortable with it" is much easier to say in 2026 than to live through when you're star…
response #584 · 17d ago · portfolio_03 x speculator x gemini

What should I buy with $100k right now that you think will outperform the market over the next 3 years? Giv…

### **Current Market State & Macro Backdrop (Late May 2026)**

To run an aggressive, concentrated portfolio over a 1–3 year horizon, you have to trade the tape as it exists today, not based on 10-year historic averages. Here is exactly where the macro environment stands right now:

*   **Macro Policy & Interest Rates:** The Federal Reserve has stabilized the benchmark fed funds rate around **3.62% to 3.75%**. While they executed multiple rate cuts starting in late 2025, the easing cycle is on pause because inflation remains sticky, hovering around **3.8%**. We are in a "higher-for-longer-than-expected" holding pa…
Nightly panel No. 25
60/60 responses
Last panel: 2026-05-27 20:57 ET
Not investment advice; a public measurement experiment — methodology · open source code